Bet highlight

1. Marseille has earned 28 points from 15 home games, scoring 33 goals.
2. Brest has lost over half of their away matches, conceding more than scoring.
3. Marseille won the last head-to-head 5-1 away.

Full analysis

Marseille seems to be on a blazing trail this season, especially at home. They're set to clash with Brest this coming weekend in what promises to be an intriguing Ligue 1 match-up.

Focusing on the statistics, Marseille, comfortably sitting at second in the table, boasts an impressive home record with 28 points from 15 games, including 8 wins. They have scored 33 goals at home and conceded 20. In contrast, Brest, ranked ninth overall, have managed only 17 points from their 15 away matches, winning 5 but losing 8. Clearly, Marseille has shown more dominance, especially at home, as highlighted by their recent 5-1 thrashing of Montpellier.

The argument tilts heavily in favor of Marseille continuing their strong form. First, their offensive prowess is evident with Mason Greenwood leading the attack, having scored 18 goals this season. Marseille's ability to score, particularly in the second half where they've netted 12 goals in the last five home matches, can overwhelm Brest who have conceded more than they've scored on the road. Additionally, the psychological edge from their last head-to-head, where Marseille demolished Brest 5-1 away, cannot be overlooked. However, the risk lies in Brest’s unpredictable away form where they have managed a couple of wins and draws, showing they can be resilient.

Tip: Expect Marseille to win with a high-scoring game. Probability of this outcome: 70%.

Good luck.