Bet highlight

1. Montpellier has lost 9 of 15 home games and sits 18th in the table.
2. Reims won the last head-to-head 4-2 and recently beat Toulouse 1-0.
3. Montpellier has scored just 1 goal in their last 5 home games, conceding 14.

Full analysis

As Montpellier gears up to face Reims in an important Ligue 1 clash, the stakes are particularly high for the home side, struggling near the bottom of the table.

Montpellier, currently 18th in the standings, has accumulated just 15 points from 30 matches, a stark contrast to Reims who sit comfortably in 13th place with 32 points. Montpellier’s home record is particularly worrying, with only 3 wins and a staggering 9 losses. In their previous encounter, Reims dominated Montpellier 4-2, indicating a potential psychological edge. Montpellier's recent form is also alarming, losing their last five home games, scoring just once while conceding 14 goals.

Reims, on the other hand, is coming off a narrow 1-0 victory against Toulouse, showing their capability to secure points. Despite a somewhat shaky away record, Reims has managed more away wins and goals compared to Montpellier's home efforts. Montpellier’s defense is notably porous, having conceded 37 goals in 15 home games, and they’ve struggled to find the net, scoring a paltry 16 goals. This defensive frailty could be exploited by Reims’ top scorer, Keito Nakamura, who has netted 11 goals this season.

Given Montpellier's dire form and Reims' relatively better performances, especially in recent matchups, a bet on Reims either winning or drawing seems prudent. However, football can be unpredictable, and Montpellier's desperate need for points could potentially spur a surprise result. Still, the data heavily favors Reims.

Tip: Reims to win or draw at 75% probability.

Good luck