Bet highlight

1. West Ham have lost 8 of their 17 home matches, showing defensive vulnerability.
2. Tottenham have scored 28 goals away from home but also conceded 27.
3. A draw is likely due to both teams’ defensive struggles and the high-stakes nature of the match.

Full analysis

The upcoming London derby between West Ham and Tottenham is turning heads for all the right reasons. As both teams clash at the London Stadium this Saturday, the stakes couldn't be higher in this tight relegation scrap.

Starting with the bare bones of recent form, West Ham, despite their struggles, have managed to gather a bit more steam at home, scoring 21 goals and conceding 31 over 17 matches. Tottenham, on the other hand, have been slightly better on the road compared to their home performances, scoring 28 and conceding 27 in their away games. Both teams are neck-and-neck in the league standings, with Tottenham just a point ahead of West Ham, making this match a crucial pivot point in their seasons. The previous encounter saw Tottenham thrash West Ham 4-1 at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Delving deeper, it's evident that both teams are experiencing defensive woes. West Ham have lost 8 out of 17 home games, while Tottenham have lost a concerning 11 out of 17 on the road. Both squads have been leaking goals, but Tottenham's slightly better offensive output on the road gives them a thin veneer of advantage. However, the pressure of relegation battles often leads to unpredictable results, and with both teams desperate for points, caution could lead to a tighter game than expected. Tottenham's away form shows vulnerability in the first half of games, having conceded more goals in the first half compared to the second in recent matches, which might offer West Ham an opportunity to capitalize early.

Given the current dynamics and considering both teams' desperation to avoid the drop, a draw could be the most plausible outcome here. Each side has significant defensive frailties but also the ability to score, balancing the scales towards a potentially even match-up.

Tip: Match to end in a draw at 40% probability.

Good luck