Bet Highlight:

1. Everton have a solid chance to win as they host the league's weakest away team.
2. Southampton have lost 14 of their 18 away games this season.
3. Everton are bidding farewell to their old stadium and will be highly motivated to win.

Full Analysis:

This weekend brings us an intriguing Premiership clash at Goodison Park where Everton, positioned securely in the middle of the table, host the struggling Southampton, who are languishing at the bottom. It's a critical match for both, albeit for very different reasons.

Everton seems to have a moderate home record this season with 4 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses. They've scored 24 goals at home but also conceded 23, showing a balance in their play, yet a vulnerability in defense. In contrast, Southampton’s away form is dismal, having won only once on the road while suffering 14 defeats and managing a mere 3 draws. They've scored just 13 goals away from home while conceding a whopping 37 goals.

Everton’s recent form provides a mixed bag of results, yet they come off a strong 3-1 away win against Fulham. Southampton managed a commendable draw against Manchester City, but their overall inability to secure wins, especially away, is notable. The stark difference in home advantage and Southampton’s dreadful away record makes Everton the favorites. However, the pressure of expectation at Goodison could play into Southampton’s hands if they manage a defensive game. The risk lies in Everton's inconsistency at home, as indicated by their recent home draws.

Tip: Everton to win at home – this is their farewell to the old stadium, and they’ll be eager to sign off with a victory.

Good luck